GolfOdds
MajorsBy the GolfOdds Editorial Team

2026 U.S. Open Betting Preview: Can Shinnecock Hills Deliver Another Surprise Champion?

As the U.S. Open returns to Shinnecock Hills, J.J. Spaun's reigning title defense and Ludvig Aberg's quiet hot streak shape the early betting landscape.

The U.S. Open has a reputation for upending expectations and rewarding those who can weather the storm. As the major championship heads to Shinnecock Hills Golf Club in Southampton, New York, for the 2026 edition, the betting market is bracing for another unpredictable week. Last year at Oakmont, J.J. Spaun birdied his final two holes to claim his first major title, proving once again that pre-tournament favorites often give way to unexpected champions.

Shinnecock Hills Welcomes Back the Field

Shinnecock Hills last hosted the U.S. Open in 2018, a grueling test where Brooks Koepka survived a punishing setup to take the trophy. Koepka, always a formidable presence in major championships, enters this week's test at +4500 (Bovada). The historic Long Island venue is notorious for making the world's best look lost, and this year's layout promises to test every facet of a player's game.

The current landscape features plenty of storylines, including a world No. 1 chasing a career Grand Slam on his 30th birthday, and a back-to-back Masters champion searching for his lost swing. With the top tier of the sport experiencing mixed form, the door is wide open for sleepers and surging stars to make their mark on the historic course.

Aberg Leads the Surging Contenders

Among those riding a quiet wave of momentum is 26-year-old Ludvig Aberg. Despite being one of the most consistent players on the PGA Tour this spring, Aberg has flown somewhat under the radar. He has racked up six top-10 finishes in his last seven starts and ranks second on Tour in total strokes gained. Known for his exceptional driving ability, Aberg's game is tailor-made for a demanding U.S. Open setup. He is currently positioned at +2800 (Bovada) to secure his first major.

With analysts locking in their winner and sleeper selections, the consensus is clear: do not discount the longshots. The last four U.S. Open champions arrived without the weight of heavy favoritism, and Shinnecock Hills is primed to crown another historic winner.

FAQ

Who won the last U.S. Open?
J.J. Spaun won the 2025 U.S. Open at Oakmont, birdieing his final two holes to secure his first major championship.
When was the U.S. Open last played at Shinnecock Hills?
Shinnecock Hills last hosted the U.S. Open in 2018, where Brooks Koepka emerged victorious.