3M Open Odds Movement 2026

Final

Jul 23–26, 2026

How the market has moved on every golfer since we started tracking this field — built entirely from our own stored price history. Steaming in means the price is shortening (more backed); drifting means it's getting longer.

← 3M Open odds grid

Win probability over time

2 sportsbooks in consensus

De-vigged consensus win probability for the top contenders rebuilt from every price move our tracker has recorded for this event.

Jackson Koivun84.8%Scottie Scheffler1.9%Jason Day1.1%Emiliano Grillo0.5%Chandler Phillips0.4%Séamus Power0.4%

Market-implied from de-vigged sportsbook outright boards; prediction markets excluded. Times ET.

Tracked across 885 recorded price moves.

Steaming in

Scottie Scheffler+300 → +275Pre-tee +275 · Bovada25.0% → 26.7%+1.7 pts
Ben Kohles+9000 → +6500Pre-tee +6500 · Bovada1.1% → 1.5%+0.4 pts
Emiliano Grillo+9000 → +6500Pre-tee +6500 · Bovada1.1% → 1.5%+0.4 pts
William Mouw+8000 → +6000Pre-tee +6000 · Bovada1.2% → 1.6%+0.4 pts
Kevin Roy+15000 → +10000Pre-tee +10000 · FanDuel0.66% → 0.99%+0.3 pts
Lucas Glover+12500 → +9000Pre-tee +9000 · Bovada0.79% → 1.1%+0.3 pts
Matt Kuchar+17500 → +12500Pre-tee +12500 · FanDuel0.57% → 0.79%+0.2 pts
Ben James+5000 → +4500Pre-tee +4500 · FanDuel2.0% → 2.2%+0.2 pts
Max Homa+5000 → +4500Pre-tee +4500 · Bovada2.0% → 2.2%+0.2 pts
Zac Blair+12500 → +10000Pre-tee +10000 · FanDuel0.79% → 0.99%+0.2 pts
Mac Meissner+5500 → +5000Pre-tee +5000 · FanDuel1.8% → 2.0%+0.2 pts
Sungjae Im+5500 → +5000Pre-tee +5000 · Bovada1.8% → 2.0%+0.2 pts

Drifting out

Keith Mitchell+2200 → +4500Pre-tee +4500 · Bovada4.3% → 2.2%-2.2 pts
Maverick McNealy+2000 → +2800Pre-tee +2800 · Bovada4.8% → 3.4%-1.3 pts
Jackson Koivun+2500 → +3500Pre-tee +3500 · Bovada3.8% → 2.8%-1.1 pts
Gary Woodland+4000 → +7000Pre-tee +7000 · Bovada2.4% → 1.4%-1.0 pts
Jake Knapp+2800 → +4000Pre-tee +4000 · Bovada3.4% → 2.4%-1.0 pts
Doug Ghim+4000 → +5500Pre-tee +5500 · Bovada2.4% → 1.8%-0.7 pts
Hideki Matsuyama+2500 → +3000Pre-tee +3000 · Bovada3.8% → 3.2%-0.6 pts
Max Greyserman+5500 → +8000Pre-tee +8000 · Bovada1.8% → 1.2%-0.6 pts
Davis Thompson+6500 → +10000Pre-tee +10000 · Bovada1.5% → 0.99%-0.5 pts
Stephan Jaeger+6500 → +10000Pre-tee +10000 · Bovada1.5% → 0.99%-0.5 pts
Steven Fisk+6500 → +10000Pre-tee +10000 · Bovada1.5% → 0.99%-0.5 pts
Kurt Kitayama+2200 → +2500Pre-tee +2500 · FanDuel4.3% → 3.8%-0.5 pts

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Movement is computed from GolfOdds's own append-only odds history. This event is complete; prices shown stop at the verified pre-tee boundary.