LIV Golf - United Kingdom Odds Movement 2026
FinalJul 23–26, 2026 · JCB Golf & Country Club
How the market has moved on every golfer since we started tracking this field — built entirely from our own stored price history. Steaming in means the price is shortening (more backed); drifting means it's getting longer.
Win probability over time
2 sportsbooks in consensusDe-vigged consensus win probability for the top contenders rebuilt from every price move our tracker has recorded for this event.
Lucas Herbert65.5%Bryson DeChambeau13.9%Tyrrell Hatton6.0%Cameron Smith1.8%Louis Oosthuizen1.1%Elvis Smylie0.9%
Market-implied from de-vigged sportsbook outright boards; prediction markets excluded. Times ET.
Tracked across 181 recorded price moves.
Steaming in
Bryson DeChambeau+800 → +700Pre-tee +700 · Bovada11.1% → 12.5%+1.4 pts
Tom McKibbin+2700 → +2200Pre-tee +2200 · FanDuel3.6% → 4.3%+0.8 pts
Joaquin Niemann+850 → +800Pre-tee +800 · Bovada10.5% → 11.1%+0.6 pts
Carlos Ortiz+4000 → +3300Pre-tee +3300 · FanDuel2.4% → 2.9%+0.5 pts
Lucas Herbert+2500 → +2200Pre-tee +2200 · Bovada3.8% → 4.3%+0.5 pts
Dean Burmester+2800 → +2500Pre-tee +2500 · Bovada3.4% → 3.8%+0.4 pts
Adrian Meronk+20000 → +12500Pre-tee +12500 · FanDuel0.50% → 0.79%+0.3 pts
Luis Masaveu+15000 → +12500Pre-tee +12500 · Bovada0.66% → 0.79%+0.1 pts
Drifting out
- Jon Rahm+350 → +400Pre-tee +400 · Bovada22.2% → 20.0%-2.2 pts
Tyrrell Hatton+750 → +850Pre-tee +850 · Bovada11.8% → 10.5%-1.2 pts
Victor Perez+2000 → +2500Pre-tee +2500 · Bovada4.8% → 3.8%-0.9 pts- Sergio Garcia+3500 → +4500Pre-tee +4500 · Bovada2.8% → 2.2%-0.6 pts
- Cameron Smith+2200 → +2500Pre-tee +2500 · Bovada4.3% → 3.8%-0.5 pts
- Dustin Johnson+2200 → +2500Pre-tee +2500 · FanDuel4.3% → 3.8%-0.5 pts
- Abraham Ancer+3000 → +3500Pre-tee +3500 · Bovada3.2% → 2.8%-0.4 pts
- David Puig+2000 → +2200Pre-tee +2200 · Bovada4.8% → 4.3%-0.4 pts
Thomas Detry+2000 → +2200Pre-tee +2200 · Bovada4.8% → 4.3%-0.4 pts- Marc Leishman+2500 → +2800Pre-tee +2800 · Bovada3.8% → 3.4%-0.4 pts
Scott Vincent+3500 → +4000Pre-tee +4000 · Bovada2.8% → 2.4%-0.3 pts- Anthony Kim+7500 → +10000Pre-tee +10000 · Bovada1.3% → 0.99%-0.3 pts
Movement is computed from GolfOdds's own append-only odds history. This event is complete; prices shown stop at the verified pre-tee boundary.