The Open Championship Odds Movement 2026
FinalJul 16–19, 2026 · Royal Birkdale
How the market has moved on every golfer since we started tracking this field — built entirely from our own stored price history. Steaming in means the price is shortening (more backed); drifting means it's getting longer.
Win probability over time
6 sportsbooks in consensusDe-vigged consensus win probability for the top contenders — plus the field's biggest riser —rebuilt from every price move our tracker has recorded for this event.
Sam Burns17.3%Ryan Fox13.7%Cameron Young8.2%Si Woo Kim7.6%Ludvig Aberg2.7%Bryson DeChambeau2.6%Ryan Gerard2.6%· riser
Market-implied from de-vigged sportsbook outright boards; prediction markets excluded. Times ET.
Tracked across 33630 recorded price moves.
Steaming in ▼
Sam Burns+5687+142
Lucas Herbert+33843+2147
Ryan Fox+13561+822
Si Woo Kim+7299+459- Ryan Gerard+17096+1527
- Jackson Suber+33955+4580
Francesco Molinari+50152+9784
Thomas Detry+24818+7866- Bud Cauley+18112+5940
Matt Wallace+17949+5973- Laurie Canter+42577+14571
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen+27388+10948
Drifting out ▲
Rory McIlroy+756+10555- Cameron Young+2196+19379
- Wyndham Clark+3790+27443
Robert MacIntyre+3238+21078- Scottie Scheffler+459+3268
Jon Rahm+1377+6403- Justin Thomas+4943+20920
- Matthew Jordan+25000+100000
- Dustin Johnson+6500+25000
- Xander Schauffele+1764+6791
- Daniel Brown+7166+25289
- John Parry+30000+100000
Movement is computed from GolfOdds's own append-only odds history. This event is complete; prices shown are its archived history.