U.S. Open Odds Movement 2026
FinalJun 18–21, 2026
How the market has moved on every golfer since we started tracking this field — built entirely from our own stored price history. Steaming in means the price is shortening (more backed); drifting means it's getting longer.
Win probability over time
6 sportsbooks in consensusDe-vigged consensus win probability for the top contenders — plus the field's biggest riser —rebuilt from every price move our tracker has recorded for this event.
Wyndham Clark45.9%Scottie Scheffler5.7%Jon Rahm4.9%Sam Burns4.0%Bryson DeChambeau2.3%Xander Schauffele1.5%Tom Kim1.3%· riser
Market-implied from de-vigged sportsbook outright boards; prediction markets excluded. Times ET.
Tracked across 24637 recorded price moves.
Steaming in ▼
Wyndham Clark+5317-290
Sam Stevens+33034+4359
Dustin Johnson+20656+3216
Sahith Theegala+20255+3156
Tom Kim+19046+3803
Max Greyserman+24321+8697
Keith Mitchell+19894+7470
Jon Rahm+1414+664
Sam Burns+6640+3398
William Mouw+37113+20404
Ryo Hisatsune+26648+15098
Cameron Smith+12331+7521
Drifting out ▲
Rory McIlroy+803+12609
Russell Henley+3948+22806
Brooks Koepka+3374+17535
Cameron Young+1768+8959
Jordan Spieth+6276+30033
Patrick Cantlay+5793+27556
Joaquin Niemann+6034+27255
Matthew Jordan+22500+100000
Tyrrell Hatton+3747+15961
Sepp Straka+7328+27746
Maverick McNealy+10025+35991
Ben Griffin+6177+21574
Movement is computed from GolfOdds's own append-only odds history. This event is complete; prices shown are its archived history.