U.S. Open Power Ranking 2026
UpcomingThe market’s view of who wins — every golfer ranked by de-vigged consensus win probability across 6 sportsbooks (sharp books weighted higher). Not our opinion: the betting market's, with the bookmaker margin stripped out.
- 1
Scottie Scheffler10.9% - 2
Rory McIlroy5.4% - 3
Jon Rahm4.8% - 4Xander Schauffele3.7%
- 5
Tommy Fleetwood3.4% - 6Matt Fitzpatrick3.3%
- 7Cameron Young3.1%
- 8
Ludvig Aberg2.9% - 9Bryson DeChambeau2.1%
- 10Russell Henley1.9%
- 11Brooks Koepka1.8%
- 12Sam Burns1.8%
- 13
Si Woo Kim1.8% - 14Wyndham Clark1.6%
- 15Tyrrell Hatton1.6%
- 16Collin Morikawa1.6%
- 17Chris Gotterup1.5%
- 18Patrick Reed1.5%
- 19Patrick Cantlay1.4%
- 20Justin Thomas1.4%
Biggest market moves
Who the market is backing and fading, from our own odds history.
Steaming in ▼
- Kurt Kitayama+12347+7062▼42%
- Sam Burns+6640+3793▼42%
- Maverick McNealy+10025+7618▼24%
- Adam Scott+11223+8564▼23%
- Tommy Fleetwood+2485+1902▼23%
- Harris English+11086+8622▼22%
Drifting out ▲
- Sepp Straka+7328+14862▲101%
- Bryson DeChambeau+2263+3767▲64%
- Hideki Matsuyama+5104+8271▲61%
- Rory McIlroy+803+1320▲57%
- Ben Griffin+6177+9747▲57%
- Collin Morikawa+3250+5151▲57%
Win probabilities are derived by removing each book's margin and blending toward sharp books — see our methodology. GolfOdds.