The Open Championship Power Ranking 2026
UpcomingThe market’s view of who wins — every golfer ranked by de-vigged consensus win probability across 4 sportsbooks (sharp books weighted higher). Not our opinion: the betting market's, with the bookmaker margin stripped out.
- 1
Scottie Scheffler
10.5% - 2
Rory McIlroy
6.8% - 3
Jon Rahm
3.8% - 4
Tommy Fleetwood
3.5% - 5
Xander Schauffele
3.0% - 6
Bryson DeChambeau
2.7% - 7
Cameron Young
2.6% - 8
Ludvig Aberg
2.4% - 9
Matt Fitzpatrick
2.2% - 10
Collin Morikawa
2.0% - 11
Robert MacIntyre
2.0% - 12
Tyrrell Hatton
1.9% - 13
Justin Rose
1.9% - 14
Viktor Hovland
1.7% - 15
Shane Lowry
1.5% - 16
Chris Gotterup
1.4% - 17
Justin Thomas
1.3% - 18
Hideki Matsuyama
1.3% - 19
Brooks Koepka
1.3% - 20
Jordan Spieth
1.3%
Win probabilities are derived by removing each book's margin and blending toward sharp books — see our methodology. GolfOdds.